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Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast

Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct indicate a 47.3% increase in females under working age, a 59.4% increase in females of retirement age, and a 11.9% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bayside Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43665.65497.24996.3+134
5 to 91682.62453.23374.2+169
10 to 141021.61431.92433.0+141
15 to 191161.82493.32743.4+158
20 to 2483012.781110.67669.6-64
25 to 291,54823.71,44518.91,24115.5-307
30 to 341,44822.21,41818.61,17714.7-271
35 to 3977011.81,04013.690011.3+130
40 to 443405.25557.36528.2+312
45 to 492103.23174.15557.0+345
50 to 541502.32052.73864.8+236
55 to 591442.21742.32633.3+119
60 to 641392.11612.12042.6+65
65 to 69961.51311.71592.0+63
70 to 74600.9881.11281.6+68
75 to 79330.5540.7981.2+65
80 to 8490.1330.4620.8+53
85 and over40.1160.2390.5+35
Total persons6,534100.07,635100.07,985100.0+1,450
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 23.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 270 and account for 13.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,445 females.

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