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Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast

Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct indicate a 45.1% increase in males under working age, a 42.7% increase in males of retirement age, and a 12.5% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bayside Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44146.05797.25286.3+115
5 to 91652.42583.23424.1+177
10 to 14931.31381.72432.9+150
15 to 191131.62463.02803.3+167
20 to 2481511.87819.77408.8-75
25 to 291,50721.81,45918.11,24614.8-260
30 to 341,57122.71,55219.21,30715.5-264
35 to 3992613.41,15114.31,01012.0+84
40 to 444326.26568.17288.6+297
45 to 492433.53794.76087.2+365
50 to 541692.42393.04445.3+276
55 to 591392.01752.22933.5+155
60 to 641141.71441.82052.4+91
65 to 69931.31031.31431.7+51
70 to 74691.0841.01091.3+40
75 to 79310.4710.9871.0+56
80 to 84180.3280.3610.7+43
85 and over70.1250.3490.6+42
Total persons6,918100.08,066100.08,425100.0+1,507
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 22.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 225 and account for 14.3% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,552 males.

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