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Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast

Mascot Station Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mascot Station Precinct indicate a 102.2% increase in population under working age, a 172.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 26.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bayside Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mascot Station Precinct - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46835.61,3598.31,4268.0+743
5 to 92722.24762.99235.2+651
10 to 14690.62361.45693.2+500
15 to 192151.86093.76703.8+456
20 to 242,25718.42,29013.92,04111.5-216
25 to 293,26926.73,87023.53,18417.9-85
30 to 342,58721.13,23419.62,93016.5+344
35 to 391,35011.01,90611.62,11011.9+760
40 to 446054.99055.51,2707.2+665
45 to 492742.24863.08434.7+568
50 to 541741.42551.55243.0+350
55 to 592001.61871.13331.9+133
60 to 641080.91811.12011.1+93
65 to 691040.91200.71580.9+53
70 to 74310.31430.91741.0+143
75 to 7980.1740.41330.8+125
80 to 8430.0540.31280.7+125
85 and over260.2770.51240.7+98
Total persons12,235100.016,463100.017,743100.0+5,508
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Mascot Station Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 26.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 675 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 3,870 persons.

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