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Albury CityPopulation forecast

Thurgoona Wirlinga Growth Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Thurgoona Wirlinga Growth Area indicate a 20.1% increase in males under working age, a 24.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 24.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Albury City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Thurgoona Wirlinga Growth Area - Total males202120262046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45079.05598.11,0377.5+531
5 to 956110.06449.31,1648.4+603
10 to 144618.26339.11,1478.3+686
15 to 193356.04796.99857.1+650
20 to 243656.54276.28796.4+514
25 to 293856.94536.58716.3+486
30 to 344187.45237.59787.1+561
35 to 394137.35037.29717.0+558
40 to 443436.14646.79096.6+566
45 to 493646.54236.18886.4+524
50 to 542995.33955.77985.8+498
55 to 592504.53174.66845.0+434
60 to 642434.32814.16114.4+368
65 to 692013.62413.55033.6+302
70 to 742023.62133.14673.4+265
75 to 791302.31852.73812.8+251
80 to 84881.61031.52812.0+193
85 and over551.0961.42641.9+209
Total persons5,621100.06,939100.013,819100.0+8,198
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Thurgoona Wirlinga Growth Area was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 10.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 171 and account for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 644 males.

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