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City of WhittleseaPopulation forecast

Lalor

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Lalor indicate a 7.1% increase in females under working age, a 3.6% decrease in females of retirement age, and a 12.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whittlesea is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lalor - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47716.68396.69276.6+156
5 to 97316.27616.08295.9+97
10 to 146395.46935.47585.4+120
15 to 195855.07475.98085.8+223
20 to 247556.48136.49046.5+148
25 to 298577.39457.41,0757.7+218
30 to 349247.99927.81,0927.8+168
35 to 399007.79157.21,0087.2+109
40 to 447676.58937.09757.0+208
45 to 496905.98716.89236.6+234
50 to 546255.37475.98526.1+227
55 to 595845.06525.17795.6+196
60 to 645945.16094.87065.1+111
65 to 695784.95474.36094.4+31
70 to 745464.74793.85043.6-42
75 to 794473.84253.34193.0-28
80 to 843903.34213.34102.9+20
85 and over3623.13682.93882.8+26
Total persons11,745100.012,718100.013,966100.0+2,221
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Lalor was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 181 and account for 6.8% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 992 females.

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