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City of MelvillePopulation forecast

Leeming

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Leeming indicate a 15.9% increase in females under working age, a 44.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 0.3% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melville is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Leeming - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42395.52565.32605.5+21
5 to 92866.63587.43517.4+66
10 to 142766.43146.53076.4+31
15 to 192535.83056.33096.5+56
20 to 241944.54208.63898.2+195
25 to 291854.23557.33447.2+159
30 to 342505.82535.22625.5+11
35 to 392976.82264.62585.4-38
40 to 442936.72004.11873.9-106
45 to 493057.01924.01613.4-144
50 to 542365.42144.41473.1-89
55 to 593137.22425.01813.8-132
60 to 643678.52936.02365.0-131
65 to 693457.93326.82415.1-105
70 to 742555.92895.92334.9-22
75 to 791062.42745.62274.8+120
80 to 84771.81713.52194.6+142
85 and over691.61633.44549.5+385
Total persons4,348100.04,857100.04,765100.0+417
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Leeming was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 8.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 225 and account for 8.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 420 females.

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