City of MelvillePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Melville

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melville indicate a 7.1% increase in population under working age, a 25.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melville is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melville - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,3525.25,8275.16,3745.0+1,022
5 to 9 6,0915.96,2275.46,7335.3+642
10 to 14 6,1716.06,8095.97,3145.8+1,143
15 to 19 6,7066.57,8396.88,3766.6+1,671
20 to 24 7,2567.18,0667.08,8177.0+1,561
25 to 29 6,4446.36,9006.07,6796.1+1,235
30 to 34 6,1026.06,5235.77,1865.7+1,084
35 to 39 6,1266.07,2786.37,9526.3+1,826
40 to 44 6,7346.67,9386.98,6126.8+1,878
45 to 49 7,0096.88,0287.08,7616.9+1,753
50 to 54 6,8856.77,5066.58,3226.6+1,437
55 to 59 6,7706.66,8605.97,5486.0+778
60 to 64 6,2836.16,3785.56,7705.3+487
65 to 69 5,5825.55,8385.16,0134.7+431
70 to 74 4,0013.95,2494.65,5574.4+1,556
75 to 79 3,0983.04,6464.05,1024.0+2,004
80 to 84 2,5662.53,4253.04,4293.5+1,863
85 and over3,2173.13,9873.55,2104.1+1,993
Total persons102,389100.0115,324100.0126,754100.0+24,365

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,210 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,429 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,102 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 5,557 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 6,013 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 6,770 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,548 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,322 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 8,761 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,612 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 7,952 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 7,186 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 7,679 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 8,817 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 8,376 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 7,314 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 6,733 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,374 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,987 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,425 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,646 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,249 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 5,838 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 6,378 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 6,860 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,506 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 8,028 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,938 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 7,278 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 6,523 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 6,900 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 8,066 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 7,839 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 6,809 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,227 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,827 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,217 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,566 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,098 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 4,001 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 5,582 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,283 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,770 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,885 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 7,009 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,734 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 6,126 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 6,102 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 6,444 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 7,256 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 6,706 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 6,171 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 6,091 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,352
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 456 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 309 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 175 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 391 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 687 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 816 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 733 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 675 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 673 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 663 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 779 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 751 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 538 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 505 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 506 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 547 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 770 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 859 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,548 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,248 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 621 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,019 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,204 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,153 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 421 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 810 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 475
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melville was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,548 and account for 4.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 8,066 persons.

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