City of MelvillePopulation forecast
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City of Melville

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melville indicate a 14.1% increase in population under working age, a 45.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melville is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melville - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,2185.15,9475.06,4465.0+1,228
5 to 9 5,4975.46,3355.46,8125.3+1,315
10 to 14 6,0946.06,8995.97,3915.8+1,297
15 to 19 7,4027.27,8856.78,4616.6+1,059
20 to 24 8,2448.18,2087.08,9206.9+676
25 to 29 6,3476.27,0676.07,7586.0+1,411
30 to 34 5,3375.26,6595.67,2745.7+1,937
35 to 39 6,2816.17,4286.38,0536.3+1,772
40 to 44 6,9306.88,0646.88,7156.8+1,785
45 to 49 7,4047.28,1977.08,8656.9+1,461
50 to 54 7,6707.57,7606.68,4126.6+742
55 to 59 7,1347.07,0476.07,6245.9+490
60 to 64 6,2276.16,5975.66,8745.4+647
65 to 69 4,5684.56,1355.26,1354.8+1,567
70 to 74 3,3983.35,4864.75,7024.4+2,304
75 to 79 3,0393.04,6724.05,2754.1+2,236
80 to 84 2,7322.73,4943.04,5013.5+1,769
85 and over2,6132.63,9883.45,1984.0+2,585
Total persons102,135100.0117,869100.0128,415100.0+26,280

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,198 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,501 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,275 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 5,702 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 6,135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 6,874 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,624 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,412 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 8,865 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,715 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 8,053 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 7,274 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 7,758 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 8,920 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 8,461 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 7,391 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 6,812 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,446 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,988 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,494 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,672 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,486 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 6,597 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 7,047 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,760 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 8,197 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 8,064 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 7,428 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 6,659 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 7,067 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 8,208 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 7,885 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 6,899 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,335 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,947 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 2,613 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 2,732 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 3,039 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 3,398 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 4,568 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 6,227 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 7,134 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 7,670 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 7,404 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 6,930 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 6,281 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 5,337 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 6,347 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 8,244 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 7,402 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,094 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 5,497 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 5,218
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,211 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,008 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 604 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 216 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 276 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 576 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 651 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 668 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 651 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 624 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 616 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 691 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 712 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 576 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 491 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 477 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 499 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,375 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 762 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,633 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 2,088 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,567 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 370 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: -87 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 793 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 1,134 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,322 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 720 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: -36 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 483 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 805 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 838 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 729
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melville was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 2,088 and account for 4.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 8,208 persons.

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