Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast
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Macedon Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Macedon Ranges Shire indicate a 26.2% increase in population under working age, a 92.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Macedon Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Macedon Ranges Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,7556.43,5696.54,1896.5+1,434
5 to 9 3,1257.33,9817.24,6717.2+1,546
10 to 14 3,1247.33,8096.94,4756.9+1,351
15 to 19 3,1057.23,2936.03,8615.9+756
20 to 24 2,1435.02,4634.52,9134.5+770
25 to 29 1,6733.92,1713.92,5343.9+861
30 to 34 1,9814.62,6444.83,0124.6+1,031
35 to 39 2,9736.93,4506.24,0126.2+1,039
40 to 44 3,5778.33,9367.14,6027.1+1,025
45 to 49 3,4258.03,9127.14,5687.0+1,143
50 to 54 3,3187.73,8256.94,3506.7+1,032
55 to 59 2,9897.03,6706.64,0636.3+1,074
60 to 64 2,9506.93,4606.33,9286.1+978
65 to 69 2,2235.23,2875.93,7635.8+1,540
70 to 74 1,3773.22,8275.13,3405.1+1,963
75 to 79 8392.02,3044.22,7674.3+1,928
80 to 84 6601.51,4252.62,0153.1+1,355
85 and over6391.51,2132.21,8372.8+1,198
Total persons42,876100.055,242100.064,901100.0+22,025

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,837 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,015 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,767 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,340 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,763 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,928 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,063 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 4,350 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 4,568 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 4,602 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 4,012 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 3,012 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,534 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,913 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 3,861 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 4,475 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 4,671 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 4,189 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,213 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,425 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,304 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,827 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,287 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,460 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,670 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,825 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,912 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 3,936 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 3,450 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,644 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,171 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,463 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,293 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,809 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,981 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,569 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 639 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 660 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 839 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,377 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,223 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,950 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,989 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 3,318 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 3,425 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 3,577 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,973 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,981 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,673 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 2,143 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 3,105 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 3,124 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 3,125 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,755
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 624 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 590 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 513 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 477 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 467 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 393 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 525 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 656 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 666 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 562 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 368 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 362 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 450 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 568 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 666 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 690 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 620 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 574 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 765 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,465 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,450 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 510 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 681 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 477 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 663 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 498 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 320 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 685 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 856 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 814
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Macedon Ranges Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,465 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 3,981 persons.

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