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Liverpool City CouncilPopulation forecast

Warwick Farm

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Warwick Farm indicate a 14.4% decrease in population under working age, a 50.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Liverpool City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warwick Farm - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44627.53765.53795.0-82
5 to 93836.23054.43044.0-79
10 to 142954.82954.32783.7-17
15 to 192864.63495.13424.5+56
20 to 244226.85427.95517.3+129
25 to 295689.25838.56148.1+47
30 to 346089.84957.25226.9-86
35 to 395659.14636.75016.6-64
40 to 444877.96299.26248.2+137
45 to 493675.96619.66718.8+303
50 to 543295.34366.35417.1+212
55 to 593295.32944.34295.7+100
60 to 643505.63334.84576.0+108
65 to 692413.93845.63945.2+153
70 to 741913.12754.02663.5+74
75 to 791312.11742.52333.1+102
80 to 841061.71442.12122.8+106
85 and over681.11352.02663.5+198
Total persons6,188100.06,873100.07,586100.0+1,398
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Warwick Farm was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 293 and account for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 661 persons.

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