City of BrimbankPopulation forecast
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City of Brimbank

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Brimbank is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Brimbank depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Generally similar migration profile In the 2011-2026 period with increased development opportunities post-2016 increasing net gain in young adults
  • Large loss of young families with children aged in their early 30s with children aged 0-4 years migrating out of the area, likely in search of more affordable housing options in nearby LGAs
  • Loss of adults in their late 20s, early 30s, empty nesters and retirees (45-64 years)
  • Low levels of loss through migration in ages 65 and above
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -212 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -311 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -383 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -610 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -535 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -497 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -617 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -855 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,344 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,387 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,627 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -597 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,516 0 2016 to 2021: 114 0 2016 to 2021: -213 0 2016 to 2021: -297 0 2016 to 2021: -344 0 2016 to 2021: -555 0 2016 to 2021: -702 0 2016 to 2021: -667 0 2016 to 2021: -596 0 2016 to 2021: -441 0 2016 to 2021: -491 0 2016 to 2021: -753 0 2016 to 2021: -1,311 0 2016 to 2021: 134 0 2016 to 2021: 3,262 0 2016 to 2021: 2,622 0 2016 to 2021: 118 0 2016 to 2021: -365 0 2016 to 2021: -1,269 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -44 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -234 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -296 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -289 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -609 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -868 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -884 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -745 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -630 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -822 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -745 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -1,133 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 45 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,947 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,149 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -155 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -542 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,438 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -212 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -311 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -383 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -610 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -535 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -497 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -617 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -855 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,344 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,387 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,627 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -597 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,516 0 2016 to 2021: 114 0 2016 to 2021: -213 0 2016 to 2021: -297 0 2016 to 2021: -344 0 2016 to 2021: -555 0 2016 to 2021: -702 0 2016 to 2021: -667 0 2016 to 2021: -596 0 2016 to 2021: -441 0 2016 to 2021: -491 0 2016 to 2021: -753 0 2016 to 2021: -1,311 0 2016 to 2021: 134 0 2016 to 2021: 3,262 0 2016 to 2021: 2,622 0 2016 to 2021: 118 0 2016 to 2021: -365 0 2016 to 2021: -1,269 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -44 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -234 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -296 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -289 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -609 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -868 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -884 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -745 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -630 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -822 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -745 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -1,133 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 45 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,947 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,149 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -155 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -542 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,438
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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