Powered by .id (informed decisions) for Cessnock City Council
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LEARN MORE ABOUT .idThe number of dwellings in Cessnock CBD - Aberdare - South Cessnock - Kearlsey is forecast to grow from 2,604 in 2021 to 4,207 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.44 to 2.30 by 2046.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cessnock City Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
| Forecast population, households and dwellings | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cessnock CBD - Aberdare - South Cessnock - Kearlsey | Forecast year | |||||
| Summary | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | 2046 |
| Population | 5,863 | 6,491 | 6,361 | 6,395 | 7,484 | 8,804 |
| Change in population (5yrs) | -- | 628 | -131 | 35 | 1,089 | 1,320 |
| Average annual change | -- | 2.06% | -0.41% | 0.11% | 3.19% | 3.30% |
| Households | 2,386 | 2,527 | 2,572 | 2,678 | 3,197 | 3,794 |
| Average household size | 2.44 | 2.55 | 2.46 | 2.37 | 2.32 | 2.30 |
| Population in non private dwellings | 35 | 38 | 44 | 54 | 78 | 84 |
| Dwellings | 2,604 | 2,624 | 2,637 | 2,803 | 3,504 | 4,207 |
| Dwelling occupancy rate | 91.63 | 96.30 | 97.54 | 95.54 | 91.24 | 90.18 |
Key findings
In 2021, the total population of Cessnock CBD - Aberdare - South Cessnock - Kearlsey was estimated to be 5,863 people. It is expected to increase by over 498 people to 6,361 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.82%. This is based on an increase of over 186 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.44 to 2.46 by 2031.
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