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City of YarraPopulation forecast

Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South indicate a 25.7% increase in population under working age, a 100.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 41.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42605.62784.25554.6+295
5 to 91673.62043.13573.0+191
10 to 141182.62033.13012.5+183
15 to 191182.62463.73983.3+280
20 to 243487.571610.81,1339.4+785
25 to 2985718.61,20718.12,01716.7+1,159
30 to 3470315.287113.11,74714.5+1,044
35 to 3950110.85758.61,1979.9+697
40 to 443196.94176.37966.6+477
45 to 492966.43495.26125.1+316
50 to 541673.63044.65364.4+369
55 to 592274.93224.85334.4+306
60 to 641834.02523.85054.2+322
65 to 691292.82523.84353.6+307
70 to 74851.81822.73683.0+283
75 to 79651.41322.02812.3+216
80 to 84280.6691.01741.4+146
85 and over511.1841.31431.2+92
Total persons4,622100.06,662100.012,088100.0+7,466
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 18.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 368 and account for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,207 persons.

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