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City of YarraPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Abbotsford indicate a 78.0% increase in population under working age, a 83.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Abbotsford is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Abbotsford - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43744.26055.17494.6+375
5 to 91942.24133.55033.1+310
10 to 141641.92852.44102.5+245
15 to 192372.73783.25693.5+331
20 to 248639.81,0308.71,4458.8+582
25 to 291,84620.91,79315.22,50815.3+661
30 to 341,55517.61,74014.72,35814.4+803
35 to 398369.51,21610.31,5349.3+698
40 to 445175.88036.81,0366.3+519
45 to 494184.76355.48595.2+440
50 to 544154.75494.67934.8+379
55 to 593463.95054.37384.5+392
60 to 643203.64764.06854.2+365
65 to 692793.24243.66173.8+338
70 to 741812.03713.15423.3+361
75 to 791041.22802.44602.8+356
80 to 84961.11721.53382.1+242
85 and over1001.11451.22821.7+181
Total persons8,848100.011,820100.016,426100.0+7,579
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Abbotsford was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 20.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 379 and account for 10.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,793 persons.

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