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City of YarraPopulation forecast

City of Yarra

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Yarra indicate a 38.4% increase in males under working age, a 34.6% increase in males of retirement age, and a 15.2% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Yarra - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,8624.13,2606.14,0065.6+2,144
5 to 91,5823.51,8493.43,0174.2+1,435
10 to 141,4123.11,6103.02,4313.4+1,019
15 to 191,1942.71,7323.22,3703.3+1,176
20 to 243,1297.03,8997.24,9766.9+1,847
25 to 296,73315.06,68112.48,37011.7+1,637
30 to 346,77815.17,18313.38,44611.8+1,668
35 to 394,65810.46,11411.47,15510.0+2,497
40 to 443,3567.54,4448.35,8908.2+2,534
45 to 492,6856.03,2536.05,0107.0+2,325
50 to 542,4955.62,5284.74,1195.7+1,624
55 to 592,3695.32,5104.73,4164.8+1,047
60 to 641,9234.32,3424.42,8123.9+889
65 to 691,5063.41,9373.62,4483.4+942
70 to 741,3573.01,4572.72,2263.1+869
75 to 798782.01,3352.52,0202.8+1,142
80 to 845401.28131.51,4982.1+958
85 and over4871.18781.61,5822.2+1,095
Total persons44,944100.053,823100.071,792100.0+26,848
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in City of Yarra was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 15.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,456 and account for 11.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 7,183 males.

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