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City of YarraPopulation forecast

Fitzroy

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Fitzroy indicate a 57.4% increase in males under working age, a 31.6% increase in males of retirement age, and a 21.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fitzroy - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42274.43845.95105.4+283
5 to 91653.22363.63804.0+215
10 to 141392.72163.33423.6+203
15 to 191302.52163.33533.7+223
20 to 243286.35308.17918.3+463
25 to 2974114.390213.81,32413.9+583
30 to 3474314.385613.11,20712.7+464
35 to 3957611.168810.59479.9+371
40 to 444017.75328.17417.8+340
45 to 493256.34206.46436.8+318
50 to 542905.63124.85255.5+235
55 to 593356.52854.34354.6+100
60 to 642625.12884.43193.3+57
65 to 692013.92383.62502.6+49
70 to 741432.81802.72112.2+68
75 to 79861.71302.02082.2+122
80 to 84511.0731.11511.6+100
85 and over450.9711.11831.9+138
Total persons5,188100.06,555100.09,519100.0+4,331
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Fitzroy was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 14.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 202 and account for 8.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 902 males.

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