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City of YarraPopulation forecast

Central Richmond

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Central Richmond indicate a 39.8% increase in males under working age, a 34.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 6.8% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Central Richmond - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42624.04085.54434.6+181
5 to 91672.52383.23503.6+182
10 to 141672.51872.53083.2+141
15 to 191552.31962.62973.1+143
20 to 244807.34966.76546.8+174
25 to 291,16617.789812.11,09111.4-75
30 to 341,01315.41,06314.31,08811.3+75
35 to 396549.982511.18909.3+235
40 to 444516.86278.57868.2+335
45 to 493665.64756.47347.6+368
50 to 544076.23574.86146.4+208
55 to 593575.43975.45215.4+164
60 to 642674.13424.64204.4+153
65 to 692123.22533.43353.5+123
70 to 741973.01962.73153.3+118
75 to 791292.02062.82903.0+161
80 to 84791.21311.82262.3+146
85 and over540.81141.52462.6+191
Total persons6,585100.07,409100.09,609100.0+3,024
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Central Richmond was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 17.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 176 and account for 8.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,063 males.

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