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City of YarraPopulation forecast

City of Yarra

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Yarra indicate a 33.0% increase in males under working age, a 51.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 23.2% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Yarra - Total males201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,2635.03,0135.23,8385.0+1,575
5 to 91,7233.82,2373.92,8293.7+1,106
10 to 141,2862.81,7633.02,2632.9+977
15 to 191,4133.12,1693.72,8063.6+1,393
20 to 243,5817.84,8688.46,3078.2+2,726
25 to 297,42616.38,18514.110,64913.8+3,223
30 to 346,55414.47,59713.19,97312.9+3,419
35 to 394,3679.65,5249.57,1799.3+2,812
40 to 443,2317.14,0417.05,3096.9+2,078
45 to 492,7776.13,3755.84,4355.7+1,658
50 to 542,5645.63,2005.54,1875.4+1,623
55 to 592,2054.82,8544.93,7794.9+1,574
60 to 641,7923.92,4134.23,2284.2+1,436
65 to 691,6313.62,0483.52,8073.6+1,176
70 to 741,1162.41,6812.92,4283.1+1,312
75 to 797481.61,3582.32,0582.7+1,310
80 to 845211.18781.51,5512.0+1,030
85 and over4611.08021.41,5932.1+1,132
Total persons45,658100.058,007100.077,219100.0+31,560
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in the City of Yarra was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 16.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 1,287 and account for 8.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 8,185 males.

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