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Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast

Yarra Ranges Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Yarra Ranges Council indicate a 4.4% increase in females under working age, a 21.6% increase in females of retirement age, and a 5.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarra Ranges Council - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,5925.85,0875.95,3895.8+797
5 to 94,7976.14,9535.85,3035.7+505
10 to 144,8756.24,8465.65,2355.6+360
15 to 194,5835.84,7675.65,0545.4+471
20 to 244,2375.44,4215.24,6205.0+383
25 to 294,5195.74,9315.75,1485.5+630
30 to 345,3136.75,8456.86,1246.6+812
35 to 395,4856.96,1637.26,5557.1+1,070
40 to 445,0576.46,0657.16,4987.0+1,441
45 to 495,4596.95,7926.86,3896.9+930
50 to 545,5377.05,2856.26,1116.6+574
55 to 595,3626.85,2336.15,7456.2+383
60 to 645,0616.45,0065.85,2495.7+188
65 to 694,4715.64,6865.54,7155.1+244
70 to 744,0235.14,3625.14,5424.9+518
75 to 792,6433.33,5644.24,0324.3+1,389
80 to 841,6422.12,6373.13,1543.4+1,512
85 and over1,5261.92,1432.53,0013.2+1,475
Total persons79,182100.085,787100.092,862100.0+13,681
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Yarra Ranges Council was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 1,008 and account for 7.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 6,163 females.

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