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Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast

Chirnside Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Chirnside Park indicate a NaN% stable trend in population under working age, a NaN% stable trend in population of retirement age, and a NaN% stable trend in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Chirnside Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Chirnside Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6386.08496.19025.8+265
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)8718.11,1618.41,2698.1+398
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8778.21,0377.51,1397.3+263
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,0509.81,2609.11,3418.5+291
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,42913.42,04914.82,12113.5+692
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,11219.72,79620.23,23220.6+1,121
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,37912.91,62911.81,91212.2+533
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,20611.31,3159.51,5009.6+295
Seniors (70 to 84)9729.11,47910.71,80911.5+837
Elderly aged (85 and over)1641.52752.04633.0+299
Total persons10,696100.013,850100.015,689100.0+4,993
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Chirnside Park was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 19.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 685 and account for 20.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 2,796 persons.

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