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Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast

Yarra Ranges Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Yarra Ranges Council indicate a 5.0% increase in population under working age, a 19.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarra Ranges Council - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,6146.110,5636.211,1906.1+1,576
5 to 99,9446.310,3826.111,1136.0+1,169
10 to 1410,1756.510,2746.011,0616.0+886
15 to 199,5696.110,0475.910,7045.8+1,135
20 to 248,8865.69,3355.59,8085.3+922
25 to 299,0705.89,9445.810,4355.7+1,365
30 to 3410,5926.711,5336.812,1106.6+1,517
35 to 3910,6586.812,1087.112,9007.0+2,242
40 to 449,8896.311,9287.012,7606.9+2,872
45 to 4910,7616.811,3906.712,6186.9+1,856
50 to 5410,8726.910,4356.112,0746.6+1,202
55 to 5910,4056.610,2506.011,2716.1+866
60 to 649,9046.39,5995.610,1045.5+200
65 to 698,4985.48,7535.18,8674.8+369
70 to 747,6594.98,1074.88,3404.5+681
75 to 795,2633.36,5833.97,3874.0+2,124
80 to 843,0882.04,9552.95,7673.1+2,680
85 and over2,5901.63,9302.35,5013.0+2,911
Total persons157,438100.0170,116100.0184,010100.0+26,572
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Yarra Ranges Council was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 2,039 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 12,108 persons.

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