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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Tarneit (locality)

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Tarneit (locality) is forecast to grow from 14,673 in 2021 to 42,516 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 3.50 to 3.31 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Wyndham. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Tarneit (locality)Forecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population48,95369,38790,129115,752132,792
Change in population (5yrs)--20,43420,74225,62317,041
Average annual change--7.23%5.37%5.13%2.78%
Households13,98220,24826,69534,59340,040
Average household size3.503.423.373.343.31
Population in non private dwellings30406080100
Dwellings14,67321,36328,25236,69342,516
Dwelling occupancy rate95.2994.7894.4994.2894.18
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Tarneit (locality) was estimated to be 48,953 people. It is expected to increase by over 41,176 people to 90,129 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 12.98%. This is based on an increase of over 12,713 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.50 to 3.37 by 2026.

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