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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Manor Lakes (locality)

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Manor Lakes (locality) indicate a 61.1% increase in population under working age, a 144.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 65.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wyndham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Manor Lakes (locality) - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,24511.22,23212.04,47810.4+3,233
5 to 91,21911.01,7689.54,32410.0+3,105
10 to 149168.21,4467.83,6278.4+2,712
15 to 195755.21,0335.62,7096.3+2,134
20 to 245354.89575.22,0214.7+1,486
25 to 297296.61,3877.52,4125.6+1,683
30 to 341,45413.12,29712.44,0499.4+2,595
35 to 391,64114.82,41313.05,06911.8+3,428
40 to 441,0069.01,7809.64,35410.1+3,348
45 to 495865.31,0025.43,0717.1+2,484
50 to 543713.35923.22,0984.9+1,727
55 to 592552.33782.01,4333.3+1,177
60 to 642101.93071.79432.2+733
65 to 691531.42331.36741.6+520
70 to 74960.91881.04891.1+393
75 to 79500.41580.94151.0+365
80 to 84280.31290.73830.9+355
85 and over540.52221.24971.2+443
Total persons11,123100.018,520100.043,046100.0+31,923
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Manor Lakes (locality) was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 14.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 987 and account for 12.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 2,413 persons.

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