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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Point Cook South

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Point Cook South indicate a 7.4% increase in population under working age, a 68.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wyndham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Point Cook South - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,95010.12,1259.42,9378.9+986
5 to 92,60513.42,36110.53,2389.8+632
10 to 141,7138.82,24810.02,7898.4+1,076
15 to 199274.81,3966.22,0066.1+1,080
20 to 247283.88924.01,3544.1+626
25 to 298884.61,0404.61,4464.4+558
30 to 341,6148.31,8428.22,4517.4+836
35 to 393,07615.92,72912.13,73711.3+660
40 to 442,32812.02,75712.23,45510.4+1,127
45 to 491,1966.21,8058.02,5057.6+1,309
50 to 547183.79524.21,7545.3+1,036
55 to 594712.46132.71,4824.5+1,011
60 to 643711.94472.01,1803.6+809
65 to 693832.03941.78542.6+471
70 to 742711.43601.66241.9+354
75 to 791010.53091.45111.5+410
80 to 84410.21770.84411.3+400
85 and over80.01170.53221.0+314
Total persons19,392100.022,565100.033,087100.0+13,695
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Point Cook South was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 15.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 609 and account for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 2,757 persons.

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