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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Black Forest South - Racecourse

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Black Forest South - Racecourse indicate a 35.9% increase in females under working age, a 42.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 44.2% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wyndham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Black Forest South - Racecourse - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6518.86386.06564.8+5
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)7179.61,16611.01,2349.0+517
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)4516.17447.01,0167.5+565
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)6819.29949.41,2499.2+568
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,58621.32,22521.02,36117.3+775
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,61421.72,51623.83,42825.1+1,814
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)76110.29478.91,60011.7+839
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5627.66966.61,0337.6+471
Seniors (70 to 84)3695.05545.28776.4+508
Elderly aged (85 and over)450.61031.01871.4+142
Total persons7,437100.010,583100.013,640100.0+6,203
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Black Forest South - Racecourse was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 21.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 902 and account for 23.8% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 2,516 females.

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