City of WyndhamPopulation forecast
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Tarneit (locality)

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Tarneit (locality) is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Wyndham depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Consistent migration profile over the period 2016-2031
  • Signficant gain of young couples and families (25-34 years) seeking home owning opportunities
  • Modest gain of older adults and retirees (45-59 years)
  • Small gain of retirees and elderly persons (65 years and over)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 122 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 263 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 295 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 284 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 171 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 333 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 313 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 92 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -238 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,195 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,562 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,018 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 360 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -201 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 150 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 761 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 138 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 265 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 280 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 244 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 460 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 515 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -224 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -297 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,181 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,580 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,012 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 570 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 283 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,076 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 276 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 316 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 397 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 529 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 255 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 183 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,834 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,026 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,923 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 798 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 453 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 615 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,400 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 122 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 263 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 295 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 284 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 171 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 333 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 313 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 92 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -238 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,195 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,562 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,018 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 360 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -201 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 150 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 761 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 138 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 265 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 280 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 244 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 460 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 515 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -224 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -297 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,181 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,580 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,012 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 570 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 283 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,076 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 276 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 316 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 397 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 529 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 255 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 183 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,834 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,026 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,923 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 798 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 453 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 615 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,400
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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