City of WyndhamPopulation forecast
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Tarneit West

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Tarneit West is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Wyndham depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively consistent profile across the 2016-2031 period, with net migration declining over time as residential development opportunities are realised
  • From 2017-2021, significant gain of families with children aged 0-14 years, particularly first home buyers
  • From 2022, some loss of maturing families and older adults (40-59 years)
  • Little change through migration in retirement years
  • Forecast net migration by age group
    Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -34 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 0 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -47 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -70 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -101 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -117 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -215 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -212 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 13 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 153 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -110 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -194 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -266 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -230 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -57 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -241 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 180 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -218 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 18 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 56 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 55 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 72 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 100 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 224 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 576 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 818 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 389 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 215 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 169 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 299 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 476 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -34 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 0 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -47 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -70 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -101 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -117 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -215 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -212 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 13 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 153 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -110 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -194 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -266 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -230 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -57 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -241 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 180 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 9 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -218 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 18 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 56 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 55 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 59 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 72 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 100 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 224 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 576 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 818 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 389 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 215 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 169 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 299 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 476
    Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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