City of WyndhamPopulation forecast
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Tarneit - Oakbank Riverdale

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Tarneit - Oakbank Riverdale is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Wyndham depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • This is a future residential area with a small rural population in 2016. Residential development is assumed to occur from 2017, after which time the net migration will increase signficantly
  • In line with other greenfield areas, significant in-migration of young families is assumed, with minor gains of older adults (50-74 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 185 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 165 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 278 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 347 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 375 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 490 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 578 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 500 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 348 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 414 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,014 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,027 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,189 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 816 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 495 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 714 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 953 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 192 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 238 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 278 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 315 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 287 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 527 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 618 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 575 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 512 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 589 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,144 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,955 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,905 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 783 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 632 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 930 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,245 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 112 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 139 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 243 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 277 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 368 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 300 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 360 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 442 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 878 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,233 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,055 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 440 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 373 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 544 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 794 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 185 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 165 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 278 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 347 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 375 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 490 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 578 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 500 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 348 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 414 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,014 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,027 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,189 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 816 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 495 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 714 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 953 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 192 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 238 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 278 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 315 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 287 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 527 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 618 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 575 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 512 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 589 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,144 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,955 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,905 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 783 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 632 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 930 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,245 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 112 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 139 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 243 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 277 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 368 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 300 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 360 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 442 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 878 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,233 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,055 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 440 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 373 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 544 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 794
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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