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Wollongong City CouncilPopulation forecast

Balgownie - Tarrawanna - Fernhill

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Balgownie - Tarrawanna - Fernhill is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wollongong City Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable profile across the 2016-2031 period, with little net change through migration in most age groups
  • Gain of families
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are leaving the family home
  • Little change in migration of empty-nesters, retirees and the elderly

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