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City of WodongaPopulation forecast

Rural Balance

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural Balance indicate a 11.9% decrease in population under working age, a 25.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wodonga is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural Balance - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4483.3322.1332.0-16
5 to 9684.7604.0533.3-15
10 to 14785.3795.2714.4-6
15 to 1916511.416210.816210.0-2
20 to 2419813.620113.420212.5+4
25 to 29966.61057.01086.7+13
30 to 34835.7744.9865.3+2
35 to 39755.2976.51026.3+27
40 to 44735.0885.91066.6+33
45 to 49745.1744.91006.2+26
50 to 54674.6634.2744.6+7
55 to 59654.5563.8553.4-11
60 to 64896.1714.7633.9-26
65 to 691097.5956.3784.8-32
70 to 74624.3976.5764.7+14
75 to 79251.7563.7784.8+53
80 to 84171.2231.5734.5+56
85 and over594.1694.6986.1+39
Total persons1,452100.01,502100.01,618100.0+166
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural Balance was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 13.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 35 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 201 persons.

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