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Wingecarribee ShirePopulation forecast

Wingecarribee Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Wingecarribee Shire indicate a 7.6% increase in population under working age, a 17.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wingecarribee Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wingecarribee Shire - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,6195.02,8234.83,1364.8+517
5 to 92,9255.63,2355.53,6125.5+687
10 to 143,3856.53,5476.13,9606.0+575
15 to 192,9685.73,1235.33,4995.3+531
20 to 242,1654.12,3604.02,6254.0+460
25 to 292,2344.32,4554.22,7454.2+510
30 to 342,6085.02,9005.03,2494.9+642
35 to 392,6795.13,2255.53,6085.5+929
40 to 442,6955.13,3115.73,7235.7+1,028
45 to 493,2216.13,3235.73,8485.9+627
50 to 543,4546.63,3865.83,9826.1+528
55 to 593,5446.83,8106.54,1356.3+591
60 to 643,6426.94,0997.04,3236.6+680
65 to 693,6777.04,2127.24,6497.1+972
70 to 743,9377.54,0156.94,5837.0+646
75 to 793,0345.83,3885.83,9696.0+935
80 to 841,9613.72,8244.83,1374.8+1,176
85 and over1,7073.32,4144.12,8754.4+1,169
Total persons52,454100.058,448100.065,659100.0+13,205
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Wingecarribee Shire was ages 70 to 74, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 863 and account for 4.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 4,212 persons.

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