Willoughby City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Willoughby City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Willoughby City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Willoughby City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • The future housing market roles of Willoughby City as a whole exhibit a relatively stable migration profile throughout the forecast period
  • There is a strong gain of young persons (aged 17-30 years) migrating to the area for education and employment purposes and to take advantage of the avilable rental housing stock
  • There is also a slight gain of young families in their early 30s with young children aged 0-4 years
  • Willoughby City will also have a loss of established families with children aged 5-14 years who may be leaving the area in search of purchasing their first home in more affordable areas
  • There is a net loss of mature adults aged 40-54 years as well as early retirees and empty nesters aged 55-64 years to outer growth areas, as well as coastal, rural and resort areas
  • With older age groups, there is little notable change as these persons tend to be less mobile and may only move to areas from elsewhere in search of care facilities
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 290 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -240 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -361 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -584 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -394 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -362 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 993 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,130 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 659 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -346 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -198 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -185 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -349 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -424 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -354 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 480 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,018 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,479 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 799 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -263 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -358 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 183 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 290 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -240 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -361 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -584 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -394 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -362 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 993 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,130 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 659 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -346 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -198 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -185 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -349 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -424 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -354 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 480 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,018 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,479 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 799 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -263 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -358 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 183
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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