City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Box Hill Activity Centre

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Box Hill Activity Centre will increase by an average of 342 dwellings per annum to 11,255 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Whitehorse. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 342 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Development driven by approximately 40 major development sites in the short term with an average yield of 110 dwellings per site. Longer term development will be driven by future unknown sites within the Activity Centre.
  • High level of infill and future unknown sites (55-320 dwellings per annum)

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 11,255 2040 Total dwellings: 11,104 2039 Total dwellings: 10,940 2038 Total dwellings: 10,763 2037 Total dwellings: 10,573 2036 Total dwellings: 10,370 2035 Total dwellings: 10,154 2034 Total dwellings: 9,925 2033 Total dwellings: 9,683 2032 Total dwellings: 9,428 2031 Total dwellings: 9,160 2030 Total dwellings: 8,879 2029 Total dwellings: 8,585 2028 Total dwellings: 8,278 2027 Total dwellings: 7,958 2026 Total dwellings: 7,612 2025 Total dwellings: 7,241 2024 Total dwellings: 6,841 2023 Total dwellings: 6,424 2022 Total dwellings: 6,001 2021 Total dwellings: 5,565 2020 Total dwellings: 5,078 2019 Total dwellings: 4,495 2018 Total dwellings: 3,813 2017 Total dwellings: 3,144 2041 Total dwellings: 11,255 2040 Total dwellings: 11,104 2039 Total dwellings: 10,940 2038 Total dwellings: 10,763 2037 Total dwellings: 10,573 2036 Total dwellings: 10,370 2035 Total dwellings: 10,154 2034 Total dwellings: 9,925 2033 Total dwellings: 9,683 2032 Total dwellings: 9,428 2031 Total dwellings: 9,160 2030 Total dwellings: 8,879 2029 Total dwellings: 8,585 2028 Total dwellings: 8,278 2027 Total dwellings: 7,958 2026 Total dwellings: 7,612 2025 Total dwellings: 7,241 2024 Total dwellings: 6,841 2023 Total dwellings: 6,424 2022 Total dwellings: 6,001 2021 Total dwellings: 5,565 2020 Total dwellings: 5,078 2019 Total dwellings: 4,495 2018 Total dwellings: 3,813 2017 Total dwellings: 3,144 2041 Forecast development: 151 2040 Forecast development: 164 2039 Forecast development: 177 2038 Forecast development: 190 2037 Forecast development: 203 2036 Forecast development: 216 2035 Forecast development: 229 2034 Forecast development: 242 2033 Forecast development: 255 2032 Forecast development: 268 2031 Forecast development: 281 2030 Forecast development: 294 2029 Forecast development: 307 2028 Forecast development: 320 2027 Forecast development: 346 2026 Forecast development: 371 2025 Forecast development: 400 2024 Forecast development: 417 2023 Forecast development: 423 2022 Forecast development: 436 2021 Forecast development: 487 2020 Forecast development: 583 2019 Forecast development: 682 2018 Forecast development: 669 2017 Forecast development: 429
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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