City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Box Hill Activity Centre

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Box Hill Activity Centre will increase by an average of 228 dwellings per annum to 6,964 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Whitehorse. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • The Botania - 17 dwellings (2017)
  • The Wellington 6-8 Wellington Road - 81 dwellings (2017)
  • Belle - 100 dwellings (2017)
  • 19 Irving Avenue - 39 dwellings (2017)
  • 28 Glenmore Street - 12 dwellings (2017)
  • Elland Avenue - 98 dwellings (2018)
  • Whitehorse Towers - 511 dwellings (2018)
  • Sky One - 434 dwellings (2019)
  • 9-11 Propsect Street - 197 dwellings (2019-2026)
  • 17 Poplar Street - 41 dwellings (2020)
  • Toahome - 19-21 Poplar Street - 85 dwellings (2020)
  • Stella Living 1-3 Ashted Road - 34 dwellings (2020)
  • Astrina - 98 dwellings (2020)
  • Chloe 15-17 Irving Avenue - 94 dwellings (2020)
  • 486 Elgar Road - 43 dwellings (2021)
  • 12 Wellington Road - 18 dwellings (2021)
  • 37-39 Harrow Street - 27 dwellings (2021)
  • 5 Poplar Street - 35 dwellings (2021)
  • 997-1003 Whitehorse Road - 108 dwellings (2021)
  • 8 Watts Street - 22 dwellings (2021)
  • 9-11 Ellingworth Parade The Parade Mixed Use Development - 58 dwellings (2022)
  • 36 Harrow Street - 12 dwellings (2022)
  • 701 Station Street - 73 dwellings (2022)
  • 9-11 Bruce Street - 65 dwellings (2022)
  • 5 Rodgerson Road - 35 dwellings (2022)
  • 12-14 Nelson Road - 148 dwellings (2022-2023)
  • Small sites - 41 dwellings
  • Low-high level of Infill/Minor Sites development (2-110 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 6,964 2035 Total dwellings: 6,854 2034 Total dwellings: 6,744 2033 Total dwellings: 6,634 2032 Total dwellings: 6,524 2031 Total dwellings: 6,414 2030 Total dwellings: 6,272 2029 Total dwellings: 6,128 2028 Total dwellings: 5,993 2027 Total dwellings: 5,823 2026 Total dwellings: 5,601 2025 Total dwellings: 5,364 2024 Total dwellings: 5,138 2023 Total dwellings: 4,880 2022 Total dwellings: 4,612 2021 Total dwellings: 4,344 2020 Total dwellings: 4,078 2019 Total dwellings: 3,716 2018 Total dwellings: 3,277 2017 Total dwellings: 2,661 2036 Total dwellings: 6,964 2035 Total dwellings: 6,854 2034 Total dwellings: 6,744 2033 Total dwellings: 6,634 2032 Total dwellings: 6,524 2031 Total dwellings: 6,414 2030 Total dwellings: 6,272 2029 Total dwellings: 6,128 2028 Total dwellings: 5,993 2027 Total dwellings: 5,823 2026 Total dwellings: 5,601 2025 Total dwellings: 5,364 2024 Total dwellings: 5,138 2023 Total dwellings: 4,880 2022 Total dwellings: 4,612 2021 Total dwellings: 4,344 2020 Total dwellings: 4,078 2019 Total dwellings: 3,716 2018 Total dwellings: 3,277 2017 Total dwellings: 2,661 2036 Forecast development: 110 2035 Forecast development: 110 2034 Forecast development: 110 2033 Forecast development: 110 2032 Forecast development: 110 2031 Forecast development: 142 2030 Forecast development: 144 2029 Forecast development: 135 2028 Forecast development: 170 2027 Forecast development: 222 2026 Forecast development: 237 2025 Forecast development: 226 2024 Forecast development: 258 2023 Forecast development: 268 2022 Forecast development: 268 2021 Forecast development: 266 2020 Forecast development: 362 2019 Forecast development: 439 2018 Forecast development: 616 2017 Forecast development: 266
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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