City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Box Hill

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Box Hill will increase by an average of 357 dwellings per annum to 14,217 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Whitehorse. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 375 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Development driven by approximately 40 major development sites in the Activity Centre (including Whitehorse Towers, Panorama and Sky One), with an average yield of 110 dwellings per site. Longer term developments will be driven by future unknown sites within the Activity Centre
  • High level of infill and future unknown sites (80-335 dwellings per annum)

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 14,217 2040 Total dwellings: 14,061 2039 Total dwellings: 13,892 2038 Total dwellings: 13,710 2037 Total dwellings: 13,515 2036 Total dwellings: 13,307 2035 Total dwellings: 13,086 2034 Total dwellings: 12,847 2033 Total dwellings: 12,595 2032 Total dwellings: 12,330 2031 Total dwellings: 12,052 2030 Total dwellings: 11,761 2029 Total dwellings: 11,457 2028 Total dwellings: 11,140 2027 Total dwellings: 10,810 2026 Total dwellings: 10,454 2025 Total dwellings: 10,073 2024 Total dwellings: 9,658 2023 Total dwellings: 9,222 2022 Total dwellings: 8,769 2021 Total dwellings: 8,312 2020 Total dwellings: 7,788 2019 Total dwellings: 7,182 2018 Total dwellings: 6,450 2017 Total dwellings: 5,734 2041 Total dwellings: 14,217 2040 Total dwellings: 14,061 2039 Total dwellings: 13,892 2038 Total dwellings: 13,710 2037 Total dwellings: 13,515 2036 Total dwellings: 13,307 2035 Total dwellings: 13,086 2034 Total dwellings: 12,847 2033 Total dwellings: 12,595 2032 Total dwellings: 12,330 2031 Total dwellings: 12,052 2030 Total dwellings: 11,761 2029 Total dwellings: 11,457 2028 Total dwellings: 11,140 2027 Total dwellings: 10,810 2026 Total dwellings: 10,454 2025 Total dwellings: 10,073 2024 Total dwellings: 9,658 2023 Total dwellings: 9,222 2022 Total dwellings: 8,769 2021 Total dwellings: 8,312 2020 Total dwellings: 7,788 2019 Total dwellings: 7,182 2018 Total dwellings: 6,450 2017 Total dwellings: 5,734 2041 Forecast development: 156 2040 Forecast development: 169 2039 Forecast development: 182 2038 Forecast development: 195 2037 Forecast development: 208 2036 Forecast development: 221 2035 Forecast development: 239 2034 Forecast development: 252 2033 Forecast development: 265 2032 Forecast development: 278 2031 Forecast development: 291 2030 Forecast development: 304 2029 Forecast development: 317 2028 Forecast development: 330 2027 Forecast development: 356 2026 Forecast development: 381 2025 Forecast development: 415 2024 Forecast development: 436 2023 Forecast development: 453 2022 Forecast development: 457 2021 Forecast development: 524 2020 Forecast development: 606 2019 Forecast development: 732 2018 Forecast development: 716 2017 Forecast development: 433
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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