City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blackburn

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Blackburn will increase by an average of 92 dwellings per annum to 7,679 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Whitehorse. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Paragon Apartments - 77 dwellings (2017)
  • Boardwalk Blackburn - 36 dwellings (2018)
  • The Royale - 18 dwellings (2018)
  • Blackburn - 77-83 Whitehorse Road - 58 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Sovereign Blackburn - 72 dwellings (2019)
  • 10 Dora Avenue - 12 dwellings (2019)
  • Trio Residences - 96 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • Apple Grove Apartments - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • 96-100 Whitehorse Road - 42 dwellings (2021)
  • 56 Goodwin Street - 86 dwellings (2021-2022)
  • 104 Main Street - 30 dwellings (2022)
  • 3 Whitehorse Road - 115 dwellings (2023-2024)
  • 8-10 Queen Street - 49 dwellings (2025)
  • 173-175 Whitehorse Road - 42 dwellings (2026)
  • 462-468 Middleborough Road - 26 dwellings (2027)
  • 9-13 Frankcom Street - 22 dwellings (2027-2028)
  • 4 Frankcom Street - 19 dwellings (2028)
  • Downing Street Apartment Building - 21 dwellings (2029)
  • 20 Vine Street - 16 dwellings (2030)
  • 34 Linden Street - 11 dwellings (2031)
  • Small sites - 17 dwellings
  • High level of Infill/Minor Sites development (35-70 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 7,679 2035 Total dwellings: 7,609 2034 Total dwellings: 7,539 2033 Total dwellings: 7,469 2032 Total dwellings: 7,399 2031 Total dwellings: 7,329 2030 Total dwellings: 7,258 2029 Total dwellings: 7,187 2028 Total dwellings: 7,116 2027 Total dwellings: 7,041 2026 Total dwellings: 6,964 2025 Total dwellings: 6,887 2024 Total dwellings: 6,803 2023 Total dwellings: 6,718 2022 Total dwellings: 6,618 2021 Total dwellings: 6,510 2020 Total dwellings: 6,390 2019 Total dwellings: 6,249 2018 Total dwellings: 6,068 2017 Total dwellings: 5,958 2036 Total dwellings: 7,679 2035 Total dwellings: 7,609 2034 Total dwellings: 7,539 2033 Total dwellings: 7,469 2032 Total dwellings: 7,399 2031 Total dwellings: 7,329 2030 Total dwellings: 7,258 2029 Total dwellings: 7,187 2028 Total dwellings: 7,116 2027 Total dwellings: 7,041 2026 Total dwellings: 6,964 2025 Total dwellings: 6,887 2024 Total dwellings: 6,803 2023 Total dwellings: 6,718 2022 Total dwellings: 6,618 2021 Total dwellings: 6,510 2020 Total dwellings: 6,390 2019 Total dwellings: 6,249 2018 Total dwellings: 6,068 2017 Total dwellings: 5,958 2036 Forecast development: 70 2035 Forecast development: 70 2034 Forecast development: 70 2033 Forecast development: 70 2032 Forecast development: 70 2031 Forecast development: 71 2030 Forecast development: 71 2029 Forecast development: 71 2028 Forecast development: 75 2027 Forecast development: 77 2026 Forecast development: 77 2025 Forecast development: 84 2024 Forecast development: 85 2023 Forecast development: 100 2022 Forecast development: 108 2021 Forecast development: 120 2020 Forecast development: 141 2019 Forecast development: 181 2018 Forecast development: 110 2017 Forecast development: 125
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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