City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blackburn

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Blackburn will increase by an average of 106 dwellings per annum to 8,410 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Whitehorse. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 106 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Development driven by Paragon Apartments, Sovereign Blackburn, Trio Residences and 59 Goodwin Street in the short and medium term, and Blackburn Place and future unknown sites in the long term
  • High level of infill and future unknown sites (28-100 dwellings per annum)

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 8,410 2040 Total dwellings: 8,310 2039 Total dwellings: 8,210 2038 Total dwellings: 8,110 2037 Total dwellings: 8,010 2036 Total dwellings: 7,910 2035 Total dwellings: 7,809 2034 Total dwellings: 7,709 2033 Total dwellings: 7,610 2032 Total dwellings: 7,509 2031 Total dwellings: 7,409 2030 Total dwellings: 7,308 2029 Total dwellings: 7,208 2028 Total dwellings: 7,107 2027 Total dwellings: 7,006 2026 Total dwellings: 6,905 2025 Total dwellings: 6,805 2024 Total dwellings: 6,704 2023 Total dwellings: 6,602 2022 Total dwellings: 6,495 2021 Total dwellings: 6,384 2020 Total dwellings: 6,262 2019 Total dwellings: 6,121 2018 Total dwellings: 5,972 2017 Total dwellings: 5,891 2041 Total dwellings: 8,410 2040 Total dwellings: 8,310 2039 Total dwellings: 8,210 2038 Total dwellings: 8,110 2037 Total dwellings: 8,010 2036 Total dwellings: 7,910 2035 Total dwellings: 7,809 2034 Total dwellings: 7,709 2033 Total dwellings: 7,610 2032 Total dwellings: 7,509 2031 Total dwellings: 7,409 2030 Total dwellings: 7,308 2029 Total dwellings: 7,208 2028 Total dwellings: 7,107 2027 Total dwellings: 7,006 2026 Total dwellings: 6,905 2025 Total dwellings: 6,805 2024 Total dwellings: 6,704 2023 Total dwellings: 6,602 2022 Total dwellings: 6,495 2021 Total dwellings: 6,384 2020 Total dwellings: 6,262 2019 Total dwellings: 6,121 2018 Total dwellings: 5,972 2017 Total dwellings: 5,891 2041 Forecast development: 100 2040 Forecast development: 100 2039 Forecast development: 100 2038 Forecast development: 100 2037 Forecast development: 100 2036 Forecast development: 101 2035 Forecast development: 100 2034 Forecast development: 99 2033 Forecast development: 101 2032 Forecast development: 100 2031 Forecast development: 101 2030 Forecast development: 100 2029 Forecast development: 101 2028 Forecast development: 101 2027 Forecast development: 101 2026 Forecast development: 100 2025 Forecast development: 101 2024 Forecast development: 102 2023 Forecast development: 107 2022 Forecast development: 111 2021 Forecast development: 122 2020 Forecast development: 141 2019 Forecast development: 149 2018 Forecast development: 81 2017 Forecast development: 125
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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