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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

Box Hill Activity Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill Activity Centre indicate a 140.2% increase in males under working age, a 72.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 87.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill Activity Centre - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41122.73544.64194.4+307
5 to 9751.81812.32602.7+185
10 to 14842.11161.52132.2+129
15 to 191714.23764.94344.6+263
20 to 2471617.61,04113.51,09111.5+375
25 to 2980719.81,24216.11,33914.1+532
30 to 3459214.51,07614.01,17912.4+587
35 to 393478.580110.49319.8+585
40 to 442065.16027.87618.0+556
45 to 491694.24976.56977.3+528
50 to 541603.93334.35595.9+399
55 to 591042.62032.63984.2+295
60 to 641012.51481.92572.7+156
65 to 69942.31371.82042.1+110
70 to 741453.62132.82492.6+104
75 to 79601.51652.12012.1+142
80 to 84641.61311.71751.8+111
85 and over611.5871.11271.3+65
Total persons4,066100.07,703100.09,495100.0+5,429
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Box Hill Activity Centre was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 19.8% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 484 and account for 14.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,242 males.

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