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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Vermont indicate a 2.1% increase in population under working age, a 0.4% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 10.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Vermont is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Vermont - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6636.36776.07396.1+76
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,08210.41,1059.81,21210.0+130
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8728.41,0018.91,0798.9+207
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)7497.29628.51,0278.5+278
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,19111.41,30411.61,41111.6+220
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,39723.02,53622.52,76822.8+371
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,17211.21,38512.31,46712.1+295
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,0219.89628.51,0868.9+65
Seniors (70 to 84)1,11310.71,0349.21,0628.7-51
Elderly aged (85 and over)1831.83122.82962.4+112
Total persons10,443100.011,276100.012,146100.0+1,703
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Vermont was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 23.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24), which is expected to increase by 213 and account for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 2,536 persons.

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