City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Box Hill North is 'Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Box Hill North - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)7626.18265.98495.7+87
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)9577.71,0547.51,0767.2+119
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8687.09666.99996.7+131
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,33410.71,49310.61,55010.4+216
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,05616.52,16315.42,24615.1+190
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,63821.12,89520.62,97920.0+341
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,52312.21,71912.21,81212.2+289
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,0708.61,42510.11,49210.0+422
Seniors (70 to 84)1,0078.11,2528.91,53710.3+530
Elderly aged (85 and over)2742.22611.93552.4+81
Total persons12,489100.014,055100.014,895100.0+2,406

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 355 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 1,492 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 1,812 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 2,979 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 2,246 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 1,550 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 999 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 1,076 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 849 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 261 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031: 1,252 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031: 1,425 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031: 1,719 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031: 2,895 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031: 2,163 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031: 1,493 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031: 966 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 826 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,523 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 2,638 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 2,056 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,334 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 868 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 957 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 762
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031 to 2041: 285 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031 to 2041: 67 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031 to 2041: 93 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031 to 2041: 83 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031 to 2041: 58 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031 to 2041: 33 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: -13 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2031: 245 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2031: 355 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2031: 196 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2031: 257 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2031: 107 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2031: 159 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2031: 98 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2031: 97 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 64
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In Box Hill North between 2016 and 2031, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 259 (10.0%), and will comprise 20.2% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 587 (25.0%) and comprise 20.9% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2031 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 2,895 persons.

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