City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Blackburn North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Blackburn North is 'Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Blackburn North - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5196.74945.74955.6-24
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)78510.17779.07738.7-12
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6538.47508.77388.3+85
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)6358.28289.68049.1+169
Young workforce (25 to 34)98012.61,08712.51,10212.4+122
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,76022.71,92422.21,91621.6+156
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)93312.01,04412.11,07012.1+137
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5767.47769.08029.0+226
Seniors (70 to 84)7349.47698.991910.4+185
Elderly aged (85 and over)1942.52102.42472.8+53
Total persons7,769100.08,658100.08,866100.0+1,097

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 919 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 802 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 1,102 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 804 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 738 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 773 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 495 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 210 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031: 769 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031: 776 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031: 1,044 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031: 1,924 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031: 1,087 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031: 828 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031: 750 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031: 777 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 494 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 194 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 734 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 576 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 933 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 1,760 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 980 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 635 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 653 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 785 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 519
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 37 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031 to 2041: 151 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031 to 2041: -8 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031 to 2041: -24 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031 to 2041: -12 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 16 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2031: 35 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2031: 200 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2031: 111 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2031: 164 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2031: 107 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2031: 193 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2031: 97 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2031: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -25
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In Blackburn North between 2016 and 2031, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 64 (3.3%), and will comprise 23.3% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 251 (16.7%) and comprise 20.3% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2031 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,924 persons.

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