City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Blackburn

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Blackburn is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Blackburn - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)7855.41,0825.81,1995.7+414
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,2298.51,5568.31,7348.2+505
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,1067.61,4237.61,6307.7+524
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,3849.51,92110.22,15710.2+773
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,90113.12,54213.52,81913.3+918
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,98820.63,93721.04,39220.7+1,404
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,85912.82,29312.22,62412.4+765
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,3479.31,7269.21,9689.3+621
Seniors (70 to 84)1,3429.21,7569.32,0359.6+693
Elderly aged (85 and over)5814.05512.96122.9+31
Total persons14,522100.018,787100.021,171100.0+6,649

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 612 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 2,035 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 1,968 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 2,624 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 4,392 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 2,819 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 2,157 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 1,630 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 1,734 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 551 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031: 1,756 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031: 1,726 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031: 2,293 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031: 3,937 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031: 2,542 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031: 1,921 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031: 1,556 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,082 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 581 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,859 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 2,988 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,901 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,384 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 1,106 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 785
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031 to 2041: 279 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031 to 2041: 242 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031 to 2041: 331 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031 to 2041: 455 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031 to 2041: 277 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031 to 2041: 236 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031 to 2041: 208 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031 to 2041: 178 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 117 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: -30 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2031: 414 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2031: 379 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2031: 434 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2031: 949 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2031: 641 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2031: 537 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2031: 317 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2031: 327 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 297
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In Blackburn between 2016 and 2031, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 941 (30.2%), and will comprise 21.6% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 763 (23.3%) and comprise 21.5% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2031 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 3,937 persons.

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