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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

City of Whitehorse

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Whitehorse indicate a 14.3% increase in population under working age, a 20.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Whitehorse - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,6405.711,4065.512,1365.4+2,496
5 to 99,8655.810,8755.311,6175.2+1,752
10 to 149,4555.610,8205.211,6655.2+2,210
15 to 1910,8536.414,6847.115,5907.0+4,737
20 to 2414,2058.418,4238.919,3558.7+5,150
25 to 2912,8977.617,0158.218,0568.1+5,159
30 to 3411,9317.015,0887.316,1377.2+4,206
35 to 3910,8746.413,9966.815,0126.7+4,138
40 to 4411,6786.913,7416.714,7856.6+3,107
45 to 4911,6546.913,1416.414,2226.4+2,568
50 to 5410,2136.011,9205.813,1725.9+2,959
55 to 599,5625.610,9575.311,8955.3+2,333
60 to 648,1984.89,9064.810,5024.7+2,304
65 to 697,5624.58,6364.29,5414.3+1,979
70 to 746,3123.77,7763.88,6773.9+2,365
75 to 795,4733.26,6803.27,6483.4+2,175
80 to 844,3052.55,4622.66,3502.8+2,045
85 and over4,9642.95,9692.96,8643.1+1,900
Total persons169,641100.0206,495100.0223,224100.0+53,583
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Whitehorse was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 4,218 and account for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 18,423 persons.

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