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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

City of Whitehorse

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Whitehorse indicate a 17.2% increase in population under working age, a 21.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 26.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Whitehorse - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,6405.711,6795.612,5575.5+2,917
5 to 99,8655.811,0665.311,9715.2+2,106
10 to 149,4555.611,1985.312,2205.3+2,765
15 to 1910,8536.414,6237.015,7406.9+4,887
20 to 2414,2058.418,7008.919,8708.7+5,665
25 to 2912,8977.617,4348.318,6408.1+5,743
30 to 3411,9317.015,5107.416,7007.3+4,769
35 to 3910,8746.414,3736.815,5396.8+4,665
40 to 4411,6786.914,0386.715,2736.7+3,595
45 to 4911,6546.913,3696.414,6526.4+2,998
50 to 5410,2136.012,1135.813,5205.9+3,307
55 to 599,5625.611,0965.312,1755.3+2,613
60 to 648,1984.810,0064.810,7384.7+2,540
65 to 697,5624.58,7104.19,7274.2+2,165
70 to 746,3123.77,8473.78,8243.8+2,512
75 to 795,4733.26,7383.27,7693.4+2,296
80 to 844,3052.55,5082.66,4412.8+2,136
85 and over4,9642.96,0202.96,9683.0+2,004
Total persons169,641100.0210,027100.0229,324100.0+59,683
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Whitehorse was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 4,537 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 18,700 persons.

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