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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

Vermont South

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Vermont South indicate a 5.8% increase in population under working age, a 0.1% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 22.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Vermont South - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44764.04403.24693.2-7
5 to 96305.26404.76874.6+57
10 to 147155.98466.28745.9+159
15 to 197145.99506.99846.6+270
20 to 248186.88726.49486.4+130
25 to 295694.76534.87385.0+169
30 to 345524.67135.27555.1+203
35 to 396275.28856.49466.4+319
40 to 447065.91,0037.31,0947.4+388
45 to 497596.39767.11,1147.5+355
50 to 548236.89106.61,0997.4+276
55 to 597706.48486.29946.7+224
60 to 647075.98125.98856.0+178
65 to 697816.57645.68325.6+51
70 to 748577.16514.77365.0-121
75 to 796015.06264.66314.2+30
80 to 844373.65774.24893.3+52
85 and over5024.25564.05803.9+78
Total persons12,044100.013,722100.014,855100.0+2,811
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Vermont South was ages 70 to 74, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 297 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,003 persons.

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