City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Box Hill

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Box Hill is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Whitehorse depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile across the 2016-2031 period
  • Significant gain of young adults (18-24 years) attracted to the educational and employment opportunities in the area
  • Loss of young families with children (0-9 and 25-39 years)
  • Little population change through migration in age groups 45+ years.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 216 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 57 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 79 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 91 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 26 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -19 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 31 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -435 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -811 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -465 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,571 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,114 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -118 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -700 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 72 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 98 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -236 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -502 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,624 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,974 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 272 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -526 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 105 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 76 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 46 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 199 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 581 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,027 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,828 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 209 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -270 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 216 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 57 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 79 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 91 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 26 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -19 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 31 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -435 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -811 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -465 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,571 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,114 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 290 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -118 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -700 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 72 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 98 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -236 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -502 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,624 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,974 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 272 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -526 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 105 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 76 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 46 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 199 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 581 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,027 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,828 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 209 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -270
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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