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Wellington ShirePopulation forecast

Sale

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sale indicate a 4.8% increase in population under working age, a 6.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sale - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48475.99015.99935.6+146
5 to 98465.98825.79875.5+141
10 to 148896.29236.01,0285.8+139
15 to 197795.48535.59445.3+165
20 to 248225.78595.69865.5+165
25 to 299446.61,0566.91,1766.6+232
30 to 349386.51,0616.91,1966.7+258
35 to 398946.29816.41,1376.4+243
40 to 447895.59456.11,1016.2+312
45 to 498285.88835.71,1036.2+275
50 to 548926.29125.91,1026.2+210
55 to 598546.09176.01,0666.0+213
60 to 648786.18675.69885.5+110
65 to 698465.99075.99895.5+144
70 to 747955.58505.59785.5+183
75 to 795924.16974.58264.6+233
80 to 844403.14553.06483.6+207
85 and over4593.24332.85903.3+131
Total persons14,330100.015,382100.017,838100.0+3,508
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Sale was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 156 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,061 persons.

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