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Wellington ShirePopulation forecast

Wellington Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wellington Shire indicate a 7.8% increase in females under working age, a 13.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 5.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington Shire - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,1845.31,2985.41,5085.2+324
5 to 91,2615.61,3485.61,6345.7+373
10 to 141,3486.01,4416.01,7556.1+407
15 to 191,2125.41,2515.21,5295.3+317
20 to 241,0044.51,1224.71,3034.5+299
25 to 291,2015.41,2755.31,4905.2+289
30 to 341,2445.51,4165.91,6595.7+415
35 to 391,3466.01,4075.81,7125.9+366
40 to 441,1965.31,4335.91,6995.9+502
45 to 491,3416.01,3635.61,7336.0+392
50 to 541,5216.81,4926.21,7806.2+259
55 to 591,5667.01,6506.81,8616.4+295
60 to 641,7747.91,7177.11,8996.6+125
65 to 691,6467.31,7977.41,9096.6+263
70 to 741,4126.31,5666.51,8136.3+401
75 to 799264.11,2345.11,5305.3+604
80 to 846312.86992.91,1594.0+528
85 and over6022.76152.59363.2+335
Total persons22,414100.024,124100.028,908100.0+6,494
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Wellington Shire was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 308 and account for 5.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 1,797 females.

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