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Wellington ShirePopulation forecast

Wellington Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for Wellington Shire indicate a 6.6% increase in population under working age, a 13.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington Shire - Total persons201620212041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,6166.02,7686.03,4736.0+857
5 to 92,7186.22,8516.23,6066.2+888
10 to 142,6036.02,8436.23,5616.2+958
15 to 192,5745.92,5285.53,1745.5+601
20 to 242,2775.22,4645.32,9715.1+694
25 to 292,4395.62,5805.63,2025.5+763
30 to 342,6886.22,7946.03,4786.0+789
35 to 392,4455.62,8606.23,5246.1+1,079
40 to 442,6086.02,6785.83,5216.1+913
45 to 492,7636.32,8076.13,5516.1+788
50 to 542,9786.82,9936.53,6446.3+666
55 to 593,2357.43,2136.93,8146.6+579
60 to 643,1627.33,3097.23,7126.4+550
65 to 692,9616.83,1366.83,5566.1+595
70 to 742,0084.62,6215.73,1105.4+1,102
75 to 791,4893.41,6983.72,5454.4+1,056
80 to 849712.21,1242.41,8973.3+926
85 and over9962.39662.11,5232.6+526
Total persons43,532100.046,232100.057,861100.0+14,330
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington Shire was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 613 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 3,309 persons.

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