Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North of Merri)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warrnambool (North of Merri) will increase by an average of 60 dwellings per annum to 1,552 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Warrnambool City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Riverside at Wollaston - 230 dwellings (2016-2028)
  • Wollaston Way - 248 dwellings (2017-2035)
  • Wollaston Gardens - 159 dwellings (2018-2031)
  • Grange Road Residential Land - 53 dwellings (2019-2036)
  • North Of Merri, Growth Area - 509 dwellings (2026-2036)
  • Low level of Infill/Minor site development (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 1,552 2035 Total dwellings: 1,472 2034 Total dwellings: 1,392 2033 Total dwellings: 1,312 2032 Total dwellings: 1,232 2031 Total dwellings: 1,152 2030 Total dwellings: 1,072 2029 Total dwellings: 993 2028 Total dwellings: 918 2027 Total dwellings: 848 2026 Total dwellings: 783 2025 Total dwellings: 724 2024 Total dwellings: 670 2023 Total dwellings: 622 2022 Total dwellings: 580 2021 Total dwellings: 540 2020 Total dwellings: 500 2019 Total dwellings: 461 2018 Total dwellings: 423 2017 Total dwellings: 390 2036 Total dwellings: 1,552 2035 Total dwellings: 1,472 2034 Total dwellings: 1,392 2033 Total dwellings: 1,312 2032 Total dwellings: 1,232 2031 Total dwellings: 1,152 2030 Total dwellings: 1,072 2029 Total dwellings: 993 2028 Total dwellings: 918 2027 Total dwellings: 848 2026 Total dwellings: 783 2025 Total dwellings: 724 2024 Total dwellings: 670 2023 Total dwellings: 622 2022 Total dwellings: 580 2021 Total dwellings: 540 2020 Total dwellings: 500 2019 Total dwellings: 461 2018 Total dwellings: 423 2017 Total dwellings: 390 2036 Forecast development: 80 2035 Forecast development: 80 2034 Forecast development: 80 2033 Forecast development: 80 2032 Forecast development: 80 2031 Forecast development: 80 2030 Forecast development: 79 2029 Forecast development: 75 2028 Forecast development: 70 2027 Forecast development: 65 2026 Forecast development: 59 2025 Forecast development: 54 2024 Forecast development: 48 2023 Forecast development: 42 2022 Forecast development: 40 2021 Forecast development: 40 2020 Forecast development: 39 2019 Forecast development: 38 2018 Forecast development: 33 2017 Forecast development: 28
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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