Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (Botanic)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warrnambool (Botanic) will increase by an average of 7 dwellings per annum to 1,453 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Warrnambool City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Merindah Park Estate - 14 dwellings (2012-2024)
  • Low-moderate level of Infill development (4-12 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 1,453 2035 Total dwellings: 1,446 2034 Total dwellings: 1,439 2033 Total dwellings: 1,432 2032 Total dwellings: 1,425 2031 Total dwellings: 1,418 2030 Total dwellings: 1,411 2029 Total dwellings: 1,404 2028 Total dwellings: 1,397 2027 Total dwellings: 1,390 2026 Total dwellings: 1,383 2025 Total dwellings: 1,376 2024 Total dwellings: 1,369 2023 Total dwellings: 1,362 2022 Total dwellings: 1,355 2021 Total dwellings: 1,348 2020 Total dwellings: 1,341 2019 Total dwellings: 1,334 2018 Total dwellings: 1,327 2017 Total dwellings: 1,320 2036 Total dwellings: 1,453 2035 Total dwellings: 1,446 2034 Total dwellings: 1,439 2033 Total dwellings: 1,432 2032 Total dwellings: 1,425 2031 Total dwellings: 1,418 2030 Total dwellings: 1,411 2029 Total dwellings: 1,404 2028 Total dwellings: 1,397 2027 Total dwellings: 1,390 2026 Total dwellings: 1,383 2025 Total dwellings: 1,376 2024 Total dwellings: 1,369 2023 Total dwellings: 1,362 2022 Total dwellings: 1,355 2021 Total dwellings: 1,348 2020 Total dwellings: 1,341 2019 Total dwellings: 1,334 2018 Total dwellings: 1,327 2017 Total dwellings: 1,320 2036 Forecast development: 7 2035 Forecast development: 7 2034 Forecast development: 7 2033 Forecast development: 7 2032 Forecast development: 7 2031 Forecast development: 7 2030 Forecast development: 7 2029 Forecast development: 7 2028 Forecast development: 7 2027 Forecast development: 7 2026 Forecast development: 7 2025 Forecast development: 7 2024 Forecast development: 7 2023 Forecast development: 7 2022 Forecast development: 7 2021 Forecast development: 7 2020 Forecast development: 7 2019 Forecast development: 7 2018 Forecast development: 7 2017 Forecast development: 6
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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