Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Warrnambool City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warrnambool City will increase by an average of 242 dwellings per annum to 20,162 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Warrnambool City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Warrnambool CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Warrnambool City+4,841+31.6
Allansford - Rural East+98+20.0
Bushfield - Woodford+100+31.8
Dennington area+512+68.2
Warrnambool (Botanic)+139+10.6
Warrnambool (Central)+233+10.3
Warrnambool (East - Racecourse)+213+12.3
Warrnambool (North East)+1,196+79.7
Warrnambool (North of Merri)+1,190+329.1
Warrnambool (North)+49+4.2
Warrnambool (South - Merrivale)+262+16.8
Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins)+615+34.8
Warrnambool (West)+234+11.2

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 20,162 2035 Total dwellings: 19,927 2034 Total dwellings: 19,692 2033 Total dwellings: 19,457 2032 Total dwellings: 19,223 2031 Total dwellings: 18,989 2030 Total dwellings: 18,755 2029 Total dwellings: 18,517 2028 Total dwellings: 18,274 2027 Total dwellings: 18,031 2026 Total dwellings: 17,788 2025 Total dwellings: 17,546 2024 Total dwellings: 17,304 2023 Total dwellings: 17,060 2022 Total dwellings: 16,801 2021 Total dwellings: 16,556 2020 Total dwellings: 16,283 2019 Total dwellings: 16,038 2018 Total dwellings: 15,813 2017 Total dwellings: 15,569 2036 Total dwellings: 20,162 2035 Total dwellings: 19,927 2034 Total dwellings: 19,692 2033 Total dwellings: 19,457 2032 Total dwellings: 19,223 2031 Total dwellings: 18,989 2030 Total dwellings: 18,755 2029 Total dwellings: 18,517 2028 Total dwellings: 18,274 2027 Total dwellings: 18,031 2026 Total dwellings: 17,788 2025 Total dwellings: 17,546 2024 Total dwellings: 17,304 2023 Total dwellings: 17,060 2022 Total dwellings: 16,801 2021 Total dwellings: 16,556 2020 Total dwellings: 16,283 2019 Total dwellings: 16,038 2018 Total dwellings: 15,813 2017 Total dwellings: 15,569 2036 Forecast development: 235 2035 Forecast development: 235 2034 Forecast development: 235 2033 Forecast development: 234 2032 Forecast development: 234 2031 Forecast development: 234 2030 Forecast development: 238 2029 Forecast development: 243 2028 Forecast development: 243 2027 Forecast development: 243 2026 Forecast development: 242 2025 Forecast development: 242 2024 Forecast development: 244 2023 Forecast development: 259 2022 Forecast development: 245 2021 Forecast development: 273 2020 Forecast development: 245 2019 Forecast development: 225 2018 Forecast development: 244 2017 Forecast development: 248
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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