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Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast

Warrnambool City

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Warrnambool City is forecast to grow from 15,320 in 2016 to 20,161 in 2036, with the average household size rising from 2.38 to 2.42 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Warrnambool City. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Warrnambool CityForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population34,24337,22540,32343,30446,209
Change in population (5yrs)--2,9823,0982,9812,905
Average annual change--1.68%1.61%1.44%1.31%
Households14,06715,24616,43117,59318,726
Average household size2.382.392.402.412.42
Population in non private dwellings731781831931981
Dwellings15,32016,55517,78718,98820,161
Dwelling occupancy rate91.8292.0992.3892.6592.88
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Warrnambool City was estimated to be 34,243 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,061 people to 43,304 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.38%. This is based on an increase of over 3,526 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.38 to 2.41 by 2026.

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